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Home World South America Chile Primera División

Club Deportes Iquique vs CSD Colo-Colo: AI Pre-Match Betting Analysis

AI STATTO by AI STATTO
23 May 2024
in Chile Primera División
Reading Time: 10 mins read
Club Deportes Iquique - Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Club Deportes Iquique - Estadio Tierra de Campeones

On Saturday, May 25, 2024, at 8:00 PM (GMT), Club Deportes Iquique face CSD Colo-Colo in an intriguing Chile Primera División encounter at the Estadio Tierra de Campeones. This fixture pits a home team in excellent form against an away team performing well on the road.

Club Deportes Iquique – Excellent Home Form:

  • League Position and Home Performance: Club Deportes Iquique, currently 3rd in the league, have shown excellent form at home with an average of 2.17 Points Per Game in home matches. They have a formidable 67% win rate at home, indicating a strong season.
  • Scoring and Defensive Record: Deportes Iquique have been prolific in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match at home. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.33 goals per match at home. Their expected goals for (xGF) of 2.01 and expected goals against (xGA) of 1.15 at home reflect their solid attacking and defensive performances.
  • Recent Form: With a form line of LWDWD, Deportes Iquique have been consistent. They are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning two and drawing two. They have scored in all their home games this season, maintaining a strong attacking momentum.

CSD Colo-Colo – Good Away Form:

  • League Standing and Away Form: Positioned 5th in the league, CSD Colo-Colo showcase good away form with an average of 1.57 Points Per Game on their travels. They have a 43% win rate in away fixtures, highlighting their capability to secure results on the road.
  • Defensive Solidity and Attack Prowess: Colo-Colo have a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.00 goals on average per away game, with an xGA of 1.14 suggesting effective defensive strategies. Offensively, they average 1.43 goals scored per match on their travels.
  • Overall Momentum: Their overall form of WWDWW indicates a team in great shape, especially away from home, making them a tough opponent. Colo-Colo are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four and drawing one, scoring 12 goals in these fixtures.

Head-to-Head and Match Context:

  • Previous Encounters: The last 14 matches between these two sides have been evenly contested, with both teams winning 5 matches and 4 ending in a draw. These encounters have averaged 2.57 goals per match, with BTTS occurring 43% of the time.
  • Implications: With Deportes Iquique aiming to maintain their strong home form and Colo-Colo looking to continue their good away run, this match is pivotal for both teams. Deportes Iquique’s attacking prowess and Colo-Colo’s solid defence set the stage for an exciting encounter.

Given the strong form of both teams, this fixture promises to be a compelling watch, with Deportes Iquique’s potent attack facing off against Colo-Colo’s resilient defence.

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Both teams will be eager to secure a positive result, making for an intense and potentially high-scoring match.

Analysis of Team Performance Metrics vs. Bookmaker Odds

Our AI Statto has analysed extensive data and statistics against live bookmaker odds to identify value bets for the upcoming Chile Primera División match between Deportes Iquique and Colo-Colo.

Full-Time Result:

  • Data Analysis: Deportes Iquique have an impressive home record with a win percentage of 67%, while Colo-Colo have a win rate of 43% in away games. Historical head-to-head data shows an evenly matched scenario with both teams winning 36% of their last 14 meetings and 28% ending in a draw.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for Deportes Iquique to win are at 3.35, and the lowest are at 3.10. For Colo-Colo, the best odds are at 2.16, and the lowest are at 2.00. The draw is best priced at 3.60 and lowest at 3.23.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given Deportes Iquique’s strong home performance and evenly matched historical results, a bet on Deportes Iquique to win offers potential value, especially with odds averaging around 3.23.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals:

  • Data Analysis: Matches involving Deportes Iquique have seen over 2.5 goals 85% of the time, while Colo-Colo’s matches have this outcome 46% of the time. Head-to-head, 62% of their recent meetings have had over 2.5 goals.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.85, and the lowest are at 1.72.
  • Value Bet Justification: The frequent occurrence of high-scoring games for Deportes Iquique suggests a bet on over 2.5 goals provides good value, especially with odds averaging around 1.80.

BTTS (Yes):

  • Data Analysis: Both teams have shown a high tendency to score in matches, with Deportes Iquique at 77% and Colo-Colo at 31%. Head-to-head, both teams have scored in 56% of their matches.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for BTTS (Yes) are at 1.70, and the lowest are at 1.57.
  • Value Bet Justification: Considering Deportes Iquique’s high BTTS rate, a bet on BTTS (Yes) offers value with odds averaging around 1.67.

Result 1st Half:

  • Data Analysis: Deportes Iquique have a 50% win rate in the first half at home, while Colo-Colo have a 57% win rate in the first half away.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for Deportes Iquique to win the first half are at 3.94, and the lowest are at 3.39. For Colo-Colo, the best odds are at 2.85, and the lowest are at 2.49.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given Colo-Colo’s strong first half away performance, a bet on Colo-Colo to win the first half offers potential value with odds averaging around 2.71.

BTTS 1st Half:

  • Data Analysis: BTTS in the first half is less frequent, with Deportes Iquique at 38% and Colo-Colo at 31%.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for BTTS 1st Half (Yes) are at 4.33, and the lowest are at 4.00.
  • Value Bet Justification: With higher odds and moderate occurrence, a bet on BTTS 1st Half (Yes) can be considered for higher returns, averaging around 4.10.

Over/Under 1st Half:

  • Data Analysis: Over 1.5 goals in the first half occur 47% of the time in Deportes Iquique’s games and 31% in Colo-Colo’s games.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for over 1.5 goals in the first half are at 2.70, and the lowest are at 2.50.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given the moderate probability, betting on over 1.5 goals in the first half offers some value with odds averaging around 2.63.

Team To Score First:

  • Data Analysis: Deportes Iquique score first in 62% of their matches, while Colo-Colo score first in 62% of their matches as well.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for Deportes Iquique to score first are at 2.38, and the lowest are at 2.25. For Colo-Colo, the best odds are at 1.80, and the lowest are at 1.67.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given the equal likelihood, betting on Deportes Iquique to score first offers better value with odds averaging around 2.30.

Win To Nil:

  • Data Analysis: Deportes Iquique have kept a clean sheet in 15% of their matches, while Colo-Colo have kept a clean sheet in 38% of theirs.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for Deportes Iquique to win to nil are at 6.00, and for Colo-Colo are at 3.60.
  • Value Bet Justification: Considering the higher clean sheet percentage, a bet on Colo-Colo to win to nil offers value with odds averaging around 3.60.

Corners Over/Under:

  • Data Analysis: Matches involving Deportes Iquique average 9.31 corners, while Colo-Colo’s matches average 10.08 corners.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for over 10.5 corners are at 2.35, and the lowest are at 2.10.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given the average corners, betting on over 10.5 corners offers value with odds averaging around 2.25.

Most Corners (1X2):

  • Data Analysis: Deportes Iquique average 4.23 corners per game, while Colo-Colo average 5.85 corners per game.
  • Odds Analysis: The best odds for Deportes Iquique to have most corners are at 2.44, and for Colo-Colo are at 1.75.
  • Value Bet Justification: Given Colo-Colo’s higher average, a bet on Colo-Colo to have the most corners offers value with odds averaging around 1.75.

If you are a recreational gambler, it’s important to follow these guidelines:
  1. Bankroll Management: Split your betting bank into 100 points and use 1 point per Best Value Bet selection. Keep your betting money separate from your personal funds to ensure essential bills are always paid.
  2. Shop around for the Best Odds: Always shop around to ensure you get the best possible return on your bets. Even the smallest increase can make a huge difference to your betting bank over 1,000 bets.
  3. Gamble Responsibly: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling should be fun. The National Gambling Helpline (0808 8020 133) provides confidential information, advice and support for anyone affected by gambling problems.
  4. Long-Term Perspective: While we hope to show a profit over 1,000 games, it is important to note that any single game or a run of games can result in losses. After a few winners do not be tempted to increase stakes massively, increase in small increments. Stay patient and stick to your strategy.

IMPORTANT: Our AI Statto is currently in the testing phase, where we are continuously evolving and experimenting with new prompts, leagues, match selections, and more. We anticipate a launch of our betting service at the start of the 2024-25 season.


AI STATTO PREDICTION
Deportes Iquique2-2Colo-Colo

BEST VALUE BET
Over 2.5 Goals (1.80)


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Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.


Tags: Betting Insight ReportChile Primera DivisiónColo-ColoDeportes Iquique
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