Match Introduction
Crawley Town will host Shrewsbury Town in an EFL League One clash at Broadfield Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2024, at 3:00 pm.
Both teams are positioned at the lower end of the table, with Crawley Town currently 21st and Shrewsbury Town just below them in 22nd. Crawley Town is struggling with consistency, while Shrewsbury Town’s poor away form has left them at the bottom.
With both teams in desperate need of points, this match will be crucial for determining their ability to fight relegation.
Crawley Town Home Form
At home, Crawley Town has played 5 games this season:
- Goals: Crawley has scored an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceded 1.80 goals per game. Their struggles to convert chances are evident in their low goal tally.
- xG (Expected Goals): Crawley’s xG at home is 0.72, reflecting an underperformance in finishing.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their xGA is 1.26, indicating that they are conceding more than they should, further highlighting defensive frailties.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have scored in 40% of Crawley’s home games.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 40% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting they are involved in tight, low-scoring affairs.
- First Half Goals: 100% of Crawley’s home games have featured at least one first-half goal.
Shrewsbury Town Away Form
Away from home, Shrewsbury Town has played 5 games this season:
- Goals: Shrewsbury has averaged 0.60 goals per game on the road while conceding 1.80 goals per game.
- xG (Expected Goals): Shrewsbury’s xG is 0.66, indicating they are also underperforming in attack.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their xGA is 1.86, pointing to serious defensive vulnerabilities that are regularly exploited by home teams.
- BTTS: Both teams have scored in 40% of Shrewsbury’s away matches.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 60% of Shrewsbury’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals.
- First Half Goals: Shrewsbury have seen two or more first-half goals in 40% of their away games.
Recommended Bets
This AI analysis uses extensive historical data, live bookmaker odds, and statistical modelling to identify potential value bets for the upcoming EFL League One match between Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town.
Full-Time Result
Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town are both struggling, but Crawley’s slight home advantage and Shrewsbury’s poor form on the road give Crawley a better chance in this match.
- Value Bet Justification: Crawley’s home advantage and Shrewsbury’s issues away from home make Crawley the stronger candidate for a win.
- Odds: Crawley Town to Win @ 2.20
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
With both teams’ struggles in attack and their defensive weaknesses, there is a higher chance of goals being scored in this game. However, their low-scoring records suggest a cautious approach.
- Value Bet Justification: The match could go either way in terms of goals, but based on form, Under 2.5 goals presents value.
- Odds: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Given both teams’ inability to consistently score, BTTS No offers value.
- Value Bet Justification: With both Crawley and Shrewsbury averaging less than a goal per game, BTTS No is a strong bet.
- Odds: BTTS (No) @ 2.10
BTTS in the 1st Half
Neither team has shown the ability to score many early goals, and with Shrewsbury’s defensive approach, the likelihood of BTTS in the first half is low.
- Value Bet Justification: Both teams’ conservative style suggests that BTTS No in the first half is a solid option.
- Odds: BTTS (No) in the 1st Half @ 1.22
Clean Sheet – Crawley Town
Shrewsbury’s away goal-scoring record increases the likelihood of Crawley keeping a clean sheet.
- Value Bet Justification: Shrewsbury’s low goal output on the road makes Crawley keeping a clean sheet a potential value bet.
- Odds: Crawley to Keep a Clean Sheet @ 3.00
Clean Sheet – Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury could focus on defence to scrape a point, although their overall poor form makes this less likely.
- Value Bet Justification: If Shrewsbury adopts a highly defensive approach, they might keep Crawley from scoring.
- Odds: Shrewsbury to Keep a Clean Sheet @ 3.60
Team to Score First
Crawley’s better home form, even if slight, suggests they are more likely to score first in this match.
- Value Bet Justification: Crawley’s slight edge at home makes them more likely to open the scoring.
- Odds: Crawley to Score First @ 1.80
Over/Under 2nd Half Goals
Both teams are known for conceding late goals, which increases the likelihood of second-half action.
- Value Bet Justification: Given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities late in the game, Over 1.5 second-half goals is a reasonable bet.
- Odds: Over 1.5 Second Half Goals @ 2.10
Win to Nil – Crawley Town
With Shrewsbury’s poor away record, Crawley winning without conceding is a valuable option.
- Value Bet Justification: Crawley’s home advantage and Shrewsbury’s scoring struggles make this a valuable bet.
- Odds: Crawley to Win to Nil @ 3.70
Final Score & Best Value Bet
Both teams are in the bottom half of the table, with Crawley sitting in 21st place and Shrewsbury in 22nd. This fixture will likely be a close contest between two sides desperate for points.
STATTO PREDICTION
Crawley Town1-0Shrewsbury Town
BEST VALUE BET
BTTS NO (2.10)
HANDPICKED VALUE BET
Under 2.5 Goals (1.90)
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IMPORTANT: Our AI Statto is currently in the testing phase, where we are continuously evolving and experimenting with new prompts, leagues, match selections, and more. We anticipate a launch of our betting service at the start of the 2024-25 season.
Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.
