Recent Form Analysis: Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
As we edge closer to the Dundee FC versus Aberdeen face-off, a glance at both teams’ recent performances is imperative for understanding the dynamics at play.
This section delves into their last few outings, providing a clearer picture of what to expect in this Scottish Premiership encounter.
Dundee FC: A Mixed Bag with Home Comforts
Dundee FC’s journey in the weeks leading up to this clash presents a tale of resilience and missed opportunities.
Their last six outings have been a rollercoaster:
- Against Kilmarnock: A spirited 2-2 draw showcased their offensive capabilities but also highlighted defensive vulnerabilities.
- Facing Celtic and Hibernian: Encounters with top teams resulted in defeats, with a particularly tough 7-1 loss to Celtic underscoring the challenges Dundee FC faces against high-caliber opposition.
- Bright Spots: A convincing 2-0 victory over Ross County and a narrow 2-1 win against St. Johnstone illuminated Dundee FC’s potential, especially on home soil.
Despite these ups and downs, Dundee FC’s home form, with a 1.46 PPG, instils a sense of optimism among their ranks.
Aberdeen: Searching for a Spark in Troubled Times
Aberdeen’s recent form paints a picture of a team in search of stability:
- A Tough Stretch: The 2-1 defeat to St. Mirren added to a streak of disappointments, marking a 3-match losing run and extending their winless streak to 10 matches in the league.
- Defensive Concerns: Conceding goals has been a persistent issue, with the team struggling to keep the opposition at bay, as seen in their losses to Kilmarnock and Rangers.
- Glimmers of Hope: Despite the challenges, Aberdeen’s performances have not been devoid of fight, with draws against teams like Dundee FC earlier in the season showing they can secure points.
With an average of 0.86 PPG in away games, Aberdeen’s form outside their home turf suggests a need for a significant turnaround if they are to challenge Dundee FC effectively.
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen: Data-Driven Betting Preview
Full Time Result
- Dundee FC Win: 2.40 (Decimal Odds)
- Draw: 3.40
- Aberdeen Win: 2.70
Insight:
- Dundee FC Home PPG: 1.46
- Aberdeen Away PPG: 0.86
Given Dundee FC’s relatively stronger home performance (winning approximately 38% of their home games), the odds suggest a slight undervaluation of their winning potential.
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
- Yes Odds: 1.83
Key Data:
- Dundee FC’s Home Scoring Rate: 77%
- Aberdeen’s Away Conceding Rate: 86%
- Both Teams Scored in: 43% of Aberdeen’s away matches and 46% of Dundee FC’s home matches.
Prediction: Given both teams’ tendencies, there’s a 76.5% implied probability (average of both scoring and conceding rates) suggesting value in the “Yes” option.
Under/Over Goals
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.72
Analysis:
- Dundee FC Home Matches Over 2.5 Goals: 62%
- Aberdeen Away Matches Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
This leads to an average likelihood of 56% for the match exceeding 2.5 goals, slightly underrepresented by the odds offered, indicating a slight value in betting over.
Correct Score
This market is inherently speculative, yet patterns in Dundee FC’s home wins and Aberdeen’s away losses suggest a 2-1 scoreline could be most plausible, reflecting both teams’ average scoring and conceding behaviours.
Total Over Corners Taken
- Over 10.5 Corners: 1.50
Corner Data:
- Dundee FC’s Home Matches Averaging Over 10.5 Corners: 69%
- Aberdeen’s Away Matches Averaging Over 10.5 Corners: 57%
This results in an average probability of 63%, suggesting a value bet given the 1.50 odds for over 10.5 corners in the match.
Full Time Result and U/O 2.5 Goals
- Dundee and Over 2.5 Goals: 11/4 (3.75)
Given Dundee FC’s win rate at home and the combined over 2.5 goals rate, this specific bet presents an interesting proposition but requires a balanced risk assessment.
Win to Nil
Given both teams’ scoring and conceding rates, betting on either team to win to nil seems less statistically supported and is thus not recommended.
Half Time Result
This market is more volatile, but Dundee FC’s tendency to score early at home could be leveraged for those looking for higher risk bets.
Full Time Result and Both Teams To Score
- Dundee and Yes: 4.33
Considering Dundee’s home scoring prowess and both teams’ general performance, this bet could offer a good blend of risk and reward, reflecting both teams’ patterns.
1st Team To Score
- Dundee: 1.91
Given Dundee FC’s aggressive start in home games, they’re slightly more likely to score first, supported by their 54% rate of scoring first at home.
Final Thoughts: Match Prediction
Predicting a 2-1 victory for Dundee FC seems in line with statistical patterns. The combined analysis supports the likelihood of an engaging match, potentially rewarding bets on Dundee to win with over 2.5 goals.
Best Value Bets
- Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Over 10.5 Corners
- Dundee FC to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
Disclaimer: This report is generated by Artificial Intelligence and utilises historical data, statistical models, and algorithmic predictions without the influence of human emotions or biases. It is intended for informational purposes only. The predictions should not be seen as a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and should be approached responsibly.
