Dundee, currently 6th in the Premiership, will host Rangers, who are in 2nd position, at Dens Park on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. The kick-off is scheduled for 20:00.
Dundee’s Recent Form:
- Home Record: Dundee has shown resilience at home, currently unbeaten in their last 4 matches at Dens Park Stadium.
- Goals Scored: They have scored 7 goals in their last 5 fixtures, showing some offensive capability.
- Defensive Concerns: While scoring consistently at home, Dundee has conceded goals regularly, underlining defensive vulnerabilities.
- Home xG: Dundee’s expected goals when playing at home stand at 1.33, indicating they are somewhat effective in creating scoring opportunities at home.
Rangers’ Recent Form:
- Away Record: Rangers have been strong on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last 4 away matches.
- Goals Scored: With 14 goals in their last 5 games, Rangers exhibit a potent attack, especially away from home.
- Defensive Stability: Rangers have maintained a solid defensive record, reflected in their away games with a low xGA of 0.98.
- Away xG: Rangers’ expected goals when playing away are at 1.93, showcasing their efficiency in creating significant scoring chances on the road.
Match Expectations:
- Scoring Potential: With Dundee’s decent home scoring and Rangers’ strong away attack, goals are expected, particularly from Rangers.
- Defensive Dynamics: Both teams have shown some defensive lapses, with Dundee more susceptible at home.
- Key Battle: The main contest will likely be Dundee’s ability to withstand Rangers’ attacking pressure while trying to exploit any rare defensive gaps from the visitors.
Analysis of Team Performance Metrics vs. Bookmaker Odds
The analysis used detailed statistics and bookmaker odds for the upcoming Scottish Premiership match between Dundee FC and Rangers FC. Our AI Statto has used them to find value bets in various markets.
Full-Time Result (FT Result)
Data Insights: Rangers show a strong form with a 73% winning probability, significantly higher than Dundee’s 40% indicated chance of winning. The historical head-to-head and current season form both favour Rangers. Odds Comparison: Best odds for Rangers to win are at 1.31 (Dafabet), with the lowest being 1.22 (Tipico). Justification: The probability and odds indicate a strong likelihood of a Rangers win. However, the odds are quite low, suggesting minimal value. Recommended Bet: No value bet recommended due to low odds.
Over/Under
Data Insights: The average goals per match in encounters between these teams is above 2.5, aligning with league trends. Odds Comparison: Over 2.5 goals are best priced at 1.52 (Betfair) and as low as 1.42 (Tipico). Justification: Given both teams’ scoring patterns, especially Rangers’ strong away scoring record, there’s good potential for over 2.5 goals. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 (Betfair).
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Data Insights: Dundee has a moderate home scoring record, while Rangers has a robust defensive away record. Odds Comparison: Best odds for BTTS are 1.96 (1xbet), with lower odds around 1.80 (WilliamHill). Justification: Given Rangers’ strong defensive away record, the likelihood of Dundee scoring is reduced. Recommended Bet: BTTS No at 1.90 (Betfair).
Result 1st Half
Data Insights: Rangers often lead at half-time in away games, demonstrating strong early game performance. Odds Comparison: Best odds for Rangers leading at half-time are 1.70 (10Bet), with the lowest at 1.57 (WilliamHill). Justification: Rangers’ tendency to start strong and Dundee’s weaker early game performance make this a plausible bet. Recommended Bet: Rangers to win 1st Half at 1.70 (10Bet).
BTTS 1st Half
Data Insights: Scoring in the first half for both teams is historically low. Odds Comparison: Odds are generally high, with best at 5.00 (bet365). Justification: Given the low historical occurrence, the high odds reflect the risk appropriately. Recommended Bet: BTTS No in 1st Half at 1.20 (NordicBet).
Over/Under 1st Half
Data Insights: Few goals are typically scored in the first half based on past meetings. Odds Comparison: Under 1.5 goals in the first half is best priced at 1.67 (WilliamHill). Justification: Historical data supports a lower scoring first half. Recommended Bet: Under 1.5 goals in the 1st Half at 1.67 (WilliamHill).
Team To Score First
Data Insights: Rangers are likely to score first given their aggressive play and scoring statistics. Odds Comparison: Best odds for Rangers to score first at 1.25 (Marathon). Justification: Strong start trends for Rangers make them likely to open the scoring. Recommended Bet: Rangers to Score First at 1.25 (Marathon).
Win To Nil
Data Insights: Rangers have a strong defensive record, especially away from home. Odds Comparison: Best odds for Rangers to win to nil at 2.20 (10Bet). Justification: Rangers’ defensive solidity and Dundee’s inconsistent scoring offer value here. Recommended Bet: Rangers to Win to Nil at 2.20 (10Bet).
Recommended Value Bets:
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 (Betfair)
- Rangers to win 1st Half at 1.70 (10Bet)
- Rangers to Win to Nil at 2.20 (10Bet)
AI Statto selected these bets based on an analysis of the teams’ stats. The analysis compared the teams’ stats to bookmaker odds. Statto adopted a balanced approach to finding the best value while managing risk.
AI Match Commentary: Dundee vs Rangers
AI Statto has analysed the Scottish Premiership match between Dundee vs Rangers using goal-scoring data and trends. This analysis is crucial for assessing scoring opportunities, particularly in the first half. Keep in mind that these predictions carry some level of uncertainty.
AI Match Commentary: Dundee vs Rangers
AI Statto has analysed the Dundee vs Rangers match using goal-scoring data and trends. This analysis is crucial for assessing scoring opportunities in both the first and second halves. Keep in mind that these predictions carry some level of uncertainty.
1st min – Kick-off: The match begins at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Rangers start aggressively, testing the Dundee defence right from the start.
16th min – Goal – ⚽: [0-1] Rangers take the lead with a well-executed set-piece that finds its way into the back of the net, putting early pressure on the home side.
32nd min – Goal – ⚽: [0-2] Continuing their dominant performance, Rangers double their lead with a quick counter-attack, slicing through Dundee’s defence.
Half-Time Update: The first half concludes with Rangers leading 2-0. The visitors have controlled the game, aligning with the prediction that Rangers would win the first half.
53rd min – Goal – ⚽: [0-3] Rangers extend their lead shortly after the break, effectively sealing the game with a third goal, ensuring the match has now surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark.
76th min – Close Call: Dundee nearly finds a consolation goal, but the shot strikes the post and bounces clear, highlighting Rangers’ potential to maintain a clean sheet.
Full-Time Update: The match ends Rangers 3, Dundee 0. Rangers dominated from start to finish, not allowing Dundee any real chances to breach their defence.
Match Recap:
Rangers showed their strength and tactical superiority, securing a comprehensive victory without conceding a goal, which aligns with the ‘Rangers to Win to Nil’ bet. The game also surpassed the predicted over 2.5 goals threshold, further confirming the accuracy of the pre-match analysis. Dundee struggled throughout, unable to penetrate a solid Rangers defence and failing to score. The visitors’ ability to convert their chances while maintaining a strong defensive setup was key to their success.
Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.
