Falkirk Vs Livingston Match Betting Analysis

Match Introduction

Kicking off at 7:45 pm, Falkirk will face Livingston FC at Falkirk Stadium on Tuesday, October 8, 2024, in a Scottish Championship fixture.

Falkirk enters with an unbeaten home record, having won all of their home fixtures this season, while Livingston remains unbeaten away, albeit with only one victory on the road.

Falkirk’s superior goal-scoring record at home and Livingston’s strong defense set the stage for an intriguing contest.

Falkirk FC Home Form

Goals: Falkirk has scored 6 goals in 3 home matches, averaging 2.00 goals per game. They’ve conceded only 2 goals, maintaining a clean sheet in 33% of these matches.
xG Performance: Falkirk’s expected goals (xG) at home is 2.07, while their expected goals against (xGA) is 1.22, showing a strong positive xG differential of +0.85 per match.
BTTS (Both Teams to Score): BTTS has occurred in 67% of Falkirk’s home games, signaling an aggressive attacking style.
Over/Under Goals: 67% of Falkirk’s home matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
Corners: Falkirk averages 9.33 corners per game at home, with more corners coming in the second half (6.33 on average).
Cards: Falkirk’s home matches have seen an average of 3.33 total cards per game.
Last 3 Home Results: Falkirk 2-0 Ayr United, Falkirk 2-1 Partick Thistle, Falkirk 2-1 Queen’s Park.

Livingston FC Away Form

Goals: Livingston has scored 2 goals in 3 away matches, averaging 0.67 goals per game, but their defense has been exceptional, conceding just 1 goal in total and maintaining a 67% clean sheet rate.
xG Performance: Livingston’s xG away from home stands at 1.37, with an xGA of 1.45, indicating that they are often under pressure but managing to avoid conceding many goals.
BTTS: Both teams have scored in only 33% of Livingston’s away matches.
Over/Under Goals: None of Livingston’s away matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
Corners: Livingston averages 5.00 corners per game away from home.
Cards: Livingston’s away matches average 5 cards per game.
Last 3 Away Results: Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston, Queen’s Park 1-1 Livingston, Partick Thistle 0-0 Livingston.

Recommended Value Bets

This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It eliminates human emotions and biases. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious, especially given it is early in the season and data is limited!

Our AI Statto has meticulously analysed extensive data and statistics against live bookmaker odds to identify value bets for the upcoming Scottish Championship match between Falkirk and Livingston.

⚽️ Full-Time Result

Falkirk to Win

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk has won 100% of their home matches this season, while Livingston has won just 1 of 3 away games. The best available odds for Falkirk to win are 1.95, which implies a 51.28% probability of victory.
Value Bet Justification: With Falkirk’s undefeated home record and Livingston’s struggles to score away, Falkirk’s odds offer solid value, especially given their attacking prowess and the significant home advantage.
Bet: Falkirk to Win @ 1.95 – Value Bet

⚽️ Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Stats & Odds Analysis: Although 67% of Falkirk’s home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, Livingston’s away games have all stayed under 2.5. The best odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.95, reflecting a strong chance of a low-scoring affair.
Value Bet Justification: Given Livingston’s defensive approach and low-scoring trend away from home, under 2.5 goals is a solid betting option with these odds.
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 – Value Bet

⚽️ Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Stats & Odds Analysis: BTTS has occurred in 67% of Falkirk’s home matches but only 33% of Livingston’s away matches. The best odds for BTTS (No) are 2.10, which implies a probability of around 47.62%.
Value Bet Justification: Livingston’s strong defensive play and tendency for low-scoring matches away from home make BTTS (No) a valuable option.
Bet: BTTS (No) @ 2.10 – Value Bet

⚽️ Over/Under 1st Half

Over 0.5 Goals

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk’s home matches have seen 67% of games go over 0.5 goals in the first half. The best available odds for over 0.5 goals in the first half are 1.36, suggesting a strong likelihood of an early goal.
Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s tendency to score early, coupled with Livingston’s ability to concede under pressure, makes this a solid value bet.
Bet: Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.36 – Value Bet

⚽️ Win to Nil

Falkirk to Win to Nil

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk has kept a clean sheet in 33% of their home matches, while Livingston has failed to score in 33% of their away games. The best odds for Falkirk to win to nil are 2.62, providing a good value bet.
Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s solid defense at home and Livingston’s struggles to score away make Falkirk to win to nil a smart play.
Bet: Falkirk to Win to Nil @ 2.62 – Value Bet

⚽️ Result 1st Half

Draw

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk has drawn 33% of their home matches at half-time, while Livingston has drawn 67% of their away matches at the break. The best odds for a draw at half-time are 2.20, reflecting a high probability of a tight first half.
Value Bet Justification: Both teams are likely to adopt a cautious approach, especially in the first half, making the draw a valuable bet.
Bet: Draw 1st Half @ 2.20 – Value Bet

⚽️ Team to Score First

Falkirk to Score First

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk has scored first in 100% of their home games this season, while Livingston has only scored first in 33% of their away matches. The best odds for Falkirk to score first are 1.70, indicating a high probability.
Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s attacking strength at home and Livingston’s struggles up front make Falkirk the likely team to break the deadlock.
Bet: Falkirk to Score First @ 1.70 – Value Bet

⚽️ Corners Over/Under

Over 9.5 Corners

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk’s home games average 9.33 corners per match, while Livingston’s away matches see 5.00 corners on average. The best odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.85.
Value Bet Justification: Both teams generate a fair amount of corners, with Falkirk being particularly strong in this area. The over 9.5 corners market offers good value.
Bet: Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.85 – Value Bet

⚽️ Most Corners (1X2)

Falkirk to Win Most Corners

Stats & Odds Analysis: Falkirk averages 9.33 corners per game at home, while Livingston only manages 5.00 corners away. The best odds for Falkirk to win the corners battle are 1.25.
Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s corner stats are far superior to Livingston’s, making them strong favorites to win the most corners. This is a safe bet with decent odds.
Bet: Falkirk to Win Most Corners @ 1.25 – Value Bet

Final Score & Best Value Bet

Given Falkirk’s dominant home form and Livingston’s resilient but low-scoring away performances, a closely fought contest is likely. Falkirk’s home advantage should give them the edge, but Livingston’s defense will likely keep the game tight.

STATTO PREDICTION
Falkirk1-0Livingston

BEST VALUE BET
Falkirk To Win (1.95)

HANDPICKED VALUE BET
Under 2.5 Goals (1.95)

If you are a recreational gambler, it’s important to follow these guidelines:

Bankroll Management: Split your betting bank into 100 points and use 1 point per Best Value Bet selection. Keep your betting money separate from your personal funds to ensure essential bills are always paid.
Shop around for the Best Odds: Always shop around to ensure you get the best possible return on your bets. Even the smallest increase can make a huge difference to your betting bank over 100’s bets.
Gamble Responsibly: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling should be fun. The National Gambling Helpline (0808 8020 133) provides confidential information, advice and support for anyone affected by gambling problems.
Long-Term Perspective: While we hope to show a profit over 100 games, it is important to note that any single game or a run of games can result in losses. After a few winners do not be tempted to increase stakes massively, increase in small increments. Stay patient and stick to your strategy.

IMPORTANT: Our AI Statto is currently in the testing phase, where we are continuously evolving and experimenting with new prompts, leagues, match selections, and more. We anticipate a launch of our betting service at the start of the 2024-25 season.

Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.