Match Introduction
Partick Thistle FC take on Falkirk FC in a Scottish Championship clash at Wyre Stadium at Firhill on Saturday, October 12, 2024, at 3:00 pm.
Partick Thistle are currently 5th in the table, while Falkirk sit at the top in 1st place. Both teams have displayed contrasting forms this season, with Falkirk showing dominance, while Partick Thistle have struggled to find consistency.
Partick Thistle FC Home Form
At home, Partick Thistle have played 4 games this season:
- Goals: Partick Thistle have scored an average of 1.00 goals per game at home, while conceding 0.00 goals per game, thanks to a solid defence. However, their goal-scoring output has been limited.
- xG (Expected Goals): Their average xG at home is 1.41, suggesting that they are creating decent chances but perhaps not converting as many as expected.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their xGA at home is 1.06, indicating that while they’ve managed to keep clean sheets, opposition teams are creating scoring opportunities.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score): 0% of their home matches have seen both teams score, indicating Partick’s defensive strength but limited offensive output.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Only 25% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals, highlighting the low-scoring nature of their home matches.
- First Half Goals: 50% of their home matches have featured at least one second-half goal, while only 25% have had goals in the first half.
Falkirk FC Away Form
Away from home, Falkirk have played 4 games this season:
- Goals: Falkirk have averaged 1.75 goals per game on the road while conceding 0.75 goals per game, demonstrating a strong balance between attack and defence.
- xG (Expected Goals): Their average xG away from home is 1.60, showing that they are efficient in converting the chances they create.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their xGA is 1.16, indicating that although they concede slightly more chances than Partick, their defence has held strong.
- BTTS: 25% of Falkirk’s away matches have seen both teams score, suggesting that while their defence is reliable, they can be broken down occasionally.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 25% of Falkirk’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals, highlighting their involvement in moderate-scoring matches.
- First Half Goals: 75% of Falkirk’s away matches have featured at least one first-half goal, showing their attacking intent early in games.
Recommended Bets
This report uses Artificial Intelligence and historical data to analyze the best value bets for the Scottish Championship clash between Partick Thistle and Falkirk FC.
Full-Time Result
Falkirk’s form, both home and away, has been significantly stronger than Partick Thistle’s, and they should be favoured to win this match.
- Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s away form (75% win rate) and Partick Thistle’s struggle to convert chances into goals make Falkirk the stronger candidate for a win.
- Odds: Falkirk to Win @ 1.94
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Given the stats, both teams are involved in low-scoring games, with only 25% of matches going over 2.5 goals for both teams.
- Value Bet Justification: The likelihood of a low-scoring game is high based on the teams’ defensive records.
- Odds: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Both teams have rarely seen over 3.5 goals in their matches, with neither side favouring high-scoring affairs.
- Value Bet Justification: With only 13% of games hitting over 3.5 goals, betting on Under 3.5 Goals offers solid value.
- Odds: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.38
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Partick Thistle’s strong defence and Falkirk’s solid away form make BTTS (No) the better option.
- Value Bet Justification: The chances of both teams scoring are low, as evidenced by Partick Thistle’s 0% BTTS at home.
- Odds: BTTS (No) @ 2.20
BTTS in the 1st Half
There’s a very low probability for both teams to score in the first half, with both teams involved in cautious first halves.
- Value Bet Justification: Neither team tends to concede early, making BTTS (No) in the first half a solid bet.
- Odds: BTTS (No) 1st Half @ 1.20
Clean Sheet – Falkirk
Falkirk’s defence has been solid away from home, keeping clean sheets in 50% of away games.
- Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s strong defensive performance suggests they can keep Partick Thistle from scoring.
- Odds: Clean Sheet – Falkirk @ 3.00
Win to Nil – Falkirk
With Falkirk’s solid defence and Partick’s low goal output, a win to nil looks like good value.
- Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s ability to keep clean sheets, combined with Partick’s low scoring at home, makes this bet a good option.
- Odds: Falkirk Win to Nil @ 3.00
Team to Score First
Falkirk’s away form shows they are likely to score first, with a strong first-half scoring record.
- Value Bet Justification: Falkirk have a high chance of opening the scoring based on their attacking output.
- Odds: Falkirk to Score First @ 1.73
Double Chance (1X)
Given Falkirk’s strong form, this bet covers a possible upset if Partick manages to hold them to a draw, but the risk is low.
- Value Bet Justification: This bet provides insurance on the chance that Partick might snatch a draw, but Falkirk remains the more likely winner.
- Odds: Double Chance (1X) @ 1.75
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half
Both teams have been involved in relatively low-scoring first halves, particularly Partick Thistle at home.
- Value Bet Justification: The teams’ first-half stats suggest that betting on Under 1.5 goals in the first half presents good value.
- Odds: Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) @ 1.44
Team to Score Last
Given Falkirk’s strength, they are likely to score last in the match, especially if they take control later on.
- Value Bet Justification: Falkirk’s control of matches and solid finishing makes them the more likely team to score last.
- Odds: Falkirk to Score Last @ 1.66
Clean Sheet – Partick Thistle
Partick have shown good defensive form at home, but given Falkirk’s attacking strength, this is a risky option.
- Value Bet Justification: Partick’s defensive record is strong at home, but Falkirk’s attacking prowess makes this less likely.
- Odds: Clean Sheet – Partick Thistle @ 4.33
Win to Nil – Partick Thistle
While Partick Thistle have kept clean sheets at home, Falkirk’s ability to score away means this is a risky bet.
- Value Bet Justification: It’s difficult to see Partick winning without conceding given Falkirk’s offensive form.
- Odds: Win to Nil – Partick Thistle @ 4.33
Final Score & Best Value Bet
Partick Thistle have been inconsistent at home, managing just two wins in four matches. Falkirk, meanwhile, have been dominant on the road, winning three of their four away games.
STATTO PREDICTION
Partick Thistle0-2Falkirk
BEST VALUE BET
Falkirk To Win (1.94)
HANDPICKED VALUE BET
Under 2.5 Goals (2.00)
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- Bankroll Management: Split your betting bank into 100 points and use 1 point per Best Value Bet selection. Keep your betting money separate from your personal funds to ensure essential bills are always paid.
- Shop around for the Best Odds: Always shop around to ensure you get the best possible return on your bets. Even the smallest increase can make a huge difference to your betting bank over 100’s bets.
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IMPORTANT: Our AI Statto is currently in the testing phase, where we are continuously evolving and experimenting with new prompts, leagues, match selections, and more. We anticipate a launch of our betting service at the start of the 2024-25 season.
Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.
