Match Introduction
Salford City FC take on Grimsby Town FC in an EFL League Two clash at The Peninsula Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2024, at 3:00 pm. Salford City are currently 15th in the table, while Grimsby Town sit in 11th.
Both teams have shown inconsistency this season, but Grimsby’s attacking performance away from home, particularly against teams in the lower half of the table, gives them a potential edge.
Salford City, meanwhile, have struggled to score at home and may adopt a cautious approach to avoid further defeats.
Salford City Home Form
At home, Salford City have played 5 games this season:
- Goals: They have scored an average of 0.80 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.00 goals per game. Their inability to score consistently is their major weakness, but their defence has been relatively solid.
- xG (Expected Goals): Their average xG at home is 0.76, suggesting that they are slightly underperforming in terms of expected goal output.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their average xGA is 1.31, indicating they have allowed more quality chances than they should, but they have conceded fewer goals than expected due to opponents’ inefficiency.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have scored in 60% of their home matches, showing that while Salford struggle offensively, their games remain competitive.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Only 20% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting Salford tends to be involved in low-scoring matches when playing at The Peninsula Stadium.
- First Half Goals: 40% of their home matches have featured at least two first-half goals, indicating they are more active in the second half.
Grimsby Town Away Form
Away from home, Grimsby Town have played 5 games this season:
- Goals: Grimsby have averaged 1.20 goals per game on the road, while conceding 1.80 goals per game. They are more aggressive going forward but are prone to conceding goals in return.
- xG (Expected Goals): Their average xG away from home is 0.77, showing that they create similar chances to Salford but are slightly more effective at converting them.
- xGA (Expected Goals Against): Their xGA is 1.69, suggesting significant defensive weaknesses that could be exploited by Salford.
- BTTS: Both teams have scored in 60% of Grimsby’s away matches, reflecting their offensive potential but defensive frailties.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 60% of Grimsby’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals, showing that their matches tend to be more open and higher-scoring than Salford’s.
- First Half Goals: 100% of Grimsby’s away matches have featured at least one first-half goal, indicating a likelihood of early action in this match.
Recommended Bets
This report uses Artificial Intelligence and historical data to analyse the best value bets for the EFL League Two clash between Salford City and Grimsby Town.
Full-Time Result
Salford City have struggled at home, particularly in scoring, while Grimsby Town have been more effective in attack, especially on the road. Despite Grimsby’s defensive issues, their offensive form gives them an edge over Salford in this contest.
- Value Bet Justification: Grimsby’s better attacking performance and Salford’s lack of goalscoring prowess at home make Grimsby the stronger candidate for a win. The odds offer value given Grimsby’s current form.
- Odds: Grimsby Town to Win @ 3.20
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Salford’s home games have been relatively low-scoring, while Grimsby’s away games have seen more goals. Given Grimsby’s attacking form and their defensive struggles, there is potential for a higher-scoring game despite Salford’s more controlled matches.
- Value Bet Justification: With 60% of Grimsby’s away matches going over 2.5 goals, and given their open style of play, there is value in betting on Over 2.5 Goals.
- Odds: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Both teams have been involved in BTTS matches this season, with 60% of Salford and Grimsby’s games seeing both teams score. Grimsby’s tendency to score but also concede suggests that BTTS could be a strong play.
- Value Bet Justification: With 60% BTTS rates for both teams, there is solid value in backing Both Teams to Score at current odds.
- Odds: BTTS Yes @ 1.73
BTTS in the 1st Half
Grimsby’s away matches have consistently seen early action, with 100% of their away games featuring first-half goals. Salford, however, have been more restrained in the first half, which makes this bet riskier.
- Value Bet Justification: Although Grimsby’s matches tend to be lively early, Salford’s slower starts may make this a riskier bet.
- Odds: BTTS in the 1st Half @ 4.50
Clean Sheet – Salford City
Given Grimsby’s stronger offensive form, it is unlikely that Salford will keep a clean sheet, especially with their defensive weaknesses.
- Value Bet Justification: Grimsby’s high goalscoring rate on the road diminishes the likelihood of a Salford clean sheet.
- Odds: No Clean Sheet for Salford City @ 1.73
Final Score & Best Value Bet
Both teams are in the bottom half of the table, with Crawley sitting in 21st place and Shrewsbury in 22nd. This fixture will likely be a close contest between two sides desperate for points.
STATTO PREDICTION
Salford City1-2Grimsby Town
BEST VALUE BET
Grimsby Town To Win (3.20)
HANDPICKED VALUE BET
Both Teams To Score (1.73)
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- Bankroll Management: Split your betting bank into 100 points and use 1 point per Best Value Bet selection. Keep your betting money separate from your personal funds to ensure essential bills are always paid.
- Shop around for the Best Odds: Always shop around to ensure you get the best possible return on your bets. Even the smallest increase can make a huge difference to your betting bank over 100’s bets.
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- Long-Term Perspective: While we hope to show a profit over 100 games, it is important to note that any single game or a run of games can result in losses. After a few winners do not be tempted to increase stakes massively, increase in small increments. Stay patient and stick to your strategy.
IMPORTANT: Our AI Statto is currently in the testing phase, where we are continuously evolving and experimenting with new prompts, leagues, match selections, and more. We anticipate a launch of our betting service at the start of the 2024-25 season.
Disclaimer: This report uses Artificial Intelligence. It relies on historical data, statistical models, and algorithms. It avoids human emotions and biases. It’s for information only. The predictions are not guaranteed. Betting is risky. So, be cautious.
